Thursday, November 6, 2014

Q7: Explain Interest Rate Structure and Monetary Policy. What are the techniques of Monetary Control? Explain Current Monetary Policy of India 2012-13.

Ans: Interest Rate Structure: Interest is a payment for the services of capital. It represents a return on capital. In other words, interest is the price of hiring capita

Term Structure of Interest Rates: The relationship between interest rates or bond yields and different terms or maturities. The term structure of interest rates is also known as a yield curve and it plays a central role in an economy. The term structure reflects expectations of market participants about future changes in interest rates and their assessment of monetary policy conditions.

Types of yield curve/Interest rate structure

There is no single yield curve describing the cost of money for everybody. The most important factor in determining a yield curve is the currency in which the securities are denominated. The economic position of the countries and companies using each currency is a primary factor in determining the yield curve. There are following types of yield curves:
1.      Normal yield Curve
2.      Steep yield Curve
3.      Flat or humped yield curve
4.      Inverted yield curve

Influence of Interest Rate Structure on Monetary Policy: Interest rates can influence the monetary policy making process in three distinct ways:
1.     The role of interest rates is as an instrument variable that the central bank sets in order to implement its chosen policy.
2.     A second potential role for interest rates in the monetary policy process is as an instrument that the central bank varies not for influencing output and inflation directly but rather for targeting the money stock.
3.     Finally, most central banks use short-term interest rate as their monetary policy instrument variable based on long term interest rate movements, which are takes as more of an information variable about potential future developments.

Monetary Policy: Monetary policy is the process by which the monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money often targeting a rate of interest for the purpose of promoting economic growth and stability. In other words, The actions of a central bank, currency board or other regulatory committee that determine the size and rate of growth of the money supply, which in turn affects interest rates. Monetary policy is maintained through actions such as increasing the interest rate, or changing the amount of money banks need to keep in the vault (bank reserves).
Objectives of Monetary Policy:
1.      Price Stability
Price Stability implies promoting economic development with considerable emphasis on price stability. The centre of focus is to facilitate the environment which is favourable to the architecture that enables the developmental projects to run swiftly while also maintaining reasonable price stability.
2.      Controlled Expansion Of Bank Credit
One of the important functions of RBI is the controlled expansion of bank credit and money supply with special attention to seasonal requirement for credit without affecting the output.
3.      Promotion of Fixed Investment
The aim here is to increase the productivity of investment by restraining non essential fixed investment.
4.      Restriction of Inventories
Overfilling of stocks and products becoming outdated due to excess of stock often results is sickness of the unit. To avoid this problem the central monetary authority carries out this essential function of restricting the inventories. The main objective of this policy is to avoid over-stocking and idle money in the organization
5.      Promotion of Exports and Food Procurement Operations
Monetary policy pays special attention in order to boost exports and facilitate the trade. It is an independent objective of monetary policy.
6.      Desired Distribution of Credit
Monetary authority has control over the decisions regarding the allocation of credit to priority sector and small borrowers. This policy decides over the specified percentage of credit that is to be allocated to priority sector and small borrowers.
7.      Equitable Distribution of Credit
The policy of Reserve Bank aims equitable distribution to all sectors of the economy and all social and economic class of people
8.      To Promote Efficiency
It is another essential aspect where the central banks pay a lot of attention. It tries to increase the efficiency in the financial system and tries to incorporate structural changes such as deregulating interest rates, ease operational constraints in the credit delivery system, to introduce new money market instruments etc.
9.      Reducing the Rigidity
RBI tries to bring about the flexibilities in the operations which provide a considerable autonomy. It encourages more competitive environment and diversification. It maintains its control over financial system whenever and wherever necessary to maintain the discipline and prudence in operations of the financial system.

Techniques/Tools of Monetary Policy:
  Instruments of Monetary Policy - Quantitative & Qualitative Tools:

(A) Quantitative Instruments or General Tools

1. Bank Rate Policy (BRP)

2. Open Market Operation (OMO)

3. Variation in the Reserve Ratios (VRR)

(B) Qualitative Instruments or Selective Tools 

        1. Ceiling on Credit
        2. Margin Requirements
        3. Discriminatory Interest Rate (DIR)
        4. Directives
        5. Direct Action
        6. Moral Suasion



 (A) Quantitative Instruments or General Tools:

      1. Bank Rate Policy:-

Bank rate is the rate at which the Central bank lends money to the commercial banks for   their liquidity requirements. Bank rate is also called discount rate. In other words bank rate is the rate at which the central bank rediscounts eligible papers (like approved securities, bills of exchange, commercial papers etc) held by commercial banks. Bank rate is important because it is the pace setter to other marketrates of interest. Bank rates have been changed several times by RBI to control inflation and recession. 
           2. Open market operations:-
 It refers to buying and selling of government securities in open market in order to expand or contract the amount of money in the banking system. This technique is superior to bank rate policy. Purchases inject money into the banking system while sale of securities do the opposite. During last two decades the RBI has been undertaking switch operations. These involve the purchase of one loan against the sale of another or, vice-versa. This policy aims at preventing unrestricted increase in liquidity.

3. Variations in the Reserve Ratios (VRR): These cover the following:

           (a) Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR)
The Gash Reserve Ratio (CRR) is an effective instrument of credit control. Under the RBl Act of, l934 every commercial bank has to keep certain minimum cash reserves with RBI. The RBI is empowered to vary the CRR between 3% and 15%. A high CRR reduces the cash for lending and a low CRR increases the cash for lending. The CRR has been brought down from 15% in 1991 to 7.5% in May 2001. It further reduced to 5.5% in December 2001. It stood at 5% on January 2009. In January 2010, RBI increased the CRR from 5% to 5.75%. It further increased in April 2010 to 6% as inflationary pressures had started building up in the economy. As of March 2011, CRR is 6%.
(a)    Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR)
Under SLR, the government has imposed an obligation on the banks to maintain a certain ratio to its total deposits with RBI in the form of liquid assets like cash, gold and other securities. The RBI has power to  fix SLR in the range of 25% and 40% between 1990 and 1992 SLR was as high as 38.5%. Narasimham Committee did not favour maintenance of high SLR. The SLR was lowered down to 25% from 10thOctober 1997.It was further reduced to 24% on November 2008. 
(b)   Repo And Reverse Repo Rates
In determining interest rate trends, the repo and reverse repo rates are becoming important. Repo means Sale and Repurchase Agreement. Repo is a swap deal involving the immediate Sale of Securities and simultaneous purchase of those securities at a future date, at a predetermined price. Repo rate helps commercial banks to acquire funds from RBI by selling securities and also agreeing to repurchase at a later date.
      Reverse repo rate is the rate that banks get from RBI for parking their short term excess funds with RBI. Repo and reverse repo operations are used by RBI in its Liquidity Adjustment Facility. RBI contracts credit by increasing the repo and reverse repo rates and by decreasing them it expands credit. Repo rate was 6.75% in March 2011 and Reverse repo rate was 5.75% for the same period. On May 2011 RBI announced Monetary Policy for 2011-12. To reduce inflation it hiked repo rate to7.25% and Reverse repo to 6.25%

(B) Qualitative Instruments or Selective Tools:

 Under Selective Credit Control, credit is provided to selected borrowers for selected purpose, depending upon the use to which the control tries to regulate the quality of credit - the direction towards the credit flows. The Selective Controls are:-

1.    Ceiling on Credit
The Ceiling on level of credit restricts the lending capacity of a bank to grant advances against certain controlled securities.
2.       Margin Requirements
A loan is sanctioned against Collateral Security. Margin means that proportion of the value of security against which loan is not given. Margin against a particular security is reduced or increased in order to encourage or to discourage the flow of credit to a particular sector. It varies from 20% to 80%. For agricultural commodities it is as high as 75%. Higher the margin lesser will be the loan sanctioned.
3.       Discriminatory Interest Rate (DIR)
Through DIR, RBI makes credit flow to certain priority or weaker sectors by charging concessional rates of interest. RBI issues supplementary instructions regarding granting of additional credit against sensitive commodities, issue of guarantees, making advances etc. .
4.       Directives
The RBI issues directives to banks regarding advances. Directives are regarding the purpose for which loans may or may not be given.
5.       Direct Action
It is too severe and is therefore rarely followed. It may involve refusal by RBI to rediscount bills or cancellation of license, if the bank has failed to comply with the directives of RBI.
6.       Moral Suasion
Under Moral Suasion, RBI issues periodical letters to bank to exercise control over credit in general or advances against particular commodities. Periodic discussions are held with authorities of commercial banks in this respect.
Current Monetary Policy of India (2012-13)
In annual monetary policy 2012-13, RBI surprised markets by easing Repo rate by 50 bps to 8%. The consensus market expectations were for a cautious 25 bps cut.
1.      Policy Rate Changes:
i.                    Repo rate lowered by 50 bps to 8%
ii.                  Reverse Repo rate and Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) Rate automatically lowered by 50 bps at 7% and 9% respectively. Further, RBI increased borrowing under MSF from 1% of NDTL to 2% of NDTL. Banks with excess SLR can also borrow under MSF.
iii.                CRR remains unchanged at 4.75% of NDTL.
2.      Economic Projections:
i.                    RBI pegged the growth forecast for 2012-13 at 7.3% versus 7.0% projection for 2011-12.
ii.                  Inflation projection lower at 6.5% in March 13 lower than 7% in March 12.
iii.                Money supply growth for 2012-13 pegged at 15% slightly lower than 15.5% for 2011-12.
iv.                Credit growth increased to 17% for 2012-13 compared to 16% for 2011-12.
3.      Forward Guidance Statement:
i.                    RBI indicates that space is limited for further reduction in policy rates given growth-inflation dynamics.
ii.                  Administered prices of petroleum products should be increased to reflect their true cost of production.

iii.                Liquidity conditions are expected to be stable and move to RBI’s comfort zone of 1% of NDTL. The increase in MSF limits will also help banks. In case the situation changes, appropriate steps will be taken.

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